The IPCC’s Sea Level Cheating

by John McClaughry

For the past two decades The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change repeatedly warned of catastrophic sea level rise produced by climate change, said to result from carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion.

Two Australian oceanographers, Parker and Ollier, just published a scientific paper that undercuts the IPCC claims.

One study, using sea level measurements in three locations around the Indian Ocean dating back to the 1800s, discovered the raw sea level measurements show no rise in sea levels. This contrasts with UN claims that Indian Ocean sea levels have risen dramatically. The UN’s sea level rise estimates rely on data from the UK’s Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level. This agency claimed raw data were insufficient for accurate coverage, and thus it “adjusted” the data. Parker and Ollier show the adjustments were done in “arbitrary” ways, using methods that consistently show higher sea levels than are actually measured.

“The adjustments are always in the direction of increasing the alarm,” said Ollier. “If the raw data show no alarming rise, and you want to create an alarm, you have to alter the raw data.”  Ollier estimates sea levels are rising only half as fast (about half a foot per century) as claimed by the UN. He says much if not all of the sea level rise may be due to entirely natural factors.

Here’s the takeaway: never trust the IPCC’s climate predictions.

- John McClaughry is the vice president of the Ethan Allen Institute

{ 6 comments… read them below or add one }

George Brehm January 12, 2018 at 1:16 pm

So as the Ice Caps grow smaller where does the water go?

Reply

Ed Brault January 13, 2018 at 3:43 am

Two points:
1. A rise in sea level cannot be “local”. Water seeks its own level, so any rise in sea level would be observable world wide. I have walked past the same stretch of the Charleston waterfront for several years. There is a clearly defined high-tide water mark on the sea wall. I have never seen the mean water level (allowing for wave action, storm surge, or other transient phenomena) go above it.

2. The Arctic sea ice is floating on the surface of the Arctic Ocean. It could all melt, and the result would be a net DROP in sea level, because the water displaced by the ice is more dense than the ice itself. That’s why ice floats. Most of the Antarctic ice is on top the the Antarctic continent, but the ice that is observed breaking off has migrated to the ocean and is floating. When the stress on the ice exceeds its tensile strength, the floating ice fractures and breaks away from the shore-supported ice and drifts off. As it melts, again there is no measurable change in sea level. You would have to thaw the entire continent to get the kind of catastrophe the Warmers go into hysterics over.

The IPCC are like a bunch of third graders who refuse to accept reality. They remind me of the Bandar-Log, a troop of monkeys in Kipling’s “The Jungle Book” who believe anything can be made so just by wishing for it, physics and natural laws be damned!

Reply

Keith Stern January 14, 2018 at 11:44 am

The Readers Digest recently had an article about the ocean had risen so drastically that the Norfolk Naval Base had to raise their docks. I went on to say that not all bases needed to do this because the water level hadn’t risen as much elsewhere. Up until then I used to think it was a fairly decent magazine but to publish such an unrealistic article shows it is buying into the hysteria as well.

Reply

JOhn McClaughry January 19, 2018 at 1:34 pm

I recall a study showing that the Norfolk area land is subsiding, causing an apparent water level rise.

Reply

Willem Post January 13, 2018 at 12:03 pm

The WEIGHT of the ice will displace and equal WEIGHT of water
The density of ice is about 0.92, meaning it floats on ordinary water and floats even higher on seawater, which has a higher density than ordinary water.
The extremely small quantity of low density ice water becomes mixed with the vastly larger quantity of high density seawater, meaning melting float ice has almost no impact on sea levels.
However, melting an equal quantity of LAND ice would have ten times the impact.

Reply

William Hays January 13, 2018 at 5:05 pm

From now on, I’ll only put sea ice in my Scotch and water, my contribution to ‘saving the world’.

Reply

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